Random Thoughts from Michael's Random Mind
Random Thoughts from Michael's Random Mind
American Idol! What? I didn't win? INCONCEIVABLE?
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As Vizzini said in The Princess Bride. "INCONCEIVABLE".



I know it's hard to believe but I didn't win the American Idol songwriting contest. Not only did I not win, I didn't even make the final twenty. Inconceivable.



My entry was strong. "Believe" has all the attributes of and American Idol finale song. Positive, uplifting with the 'ol I can do it message. But alas, I guess it just wasn't meant to be.



As with any exercise of this nature, I then began the analysis of WHY. Why did I not win? Why did I not make the top twenty. Was the song below standards? Did I miss the mark?



Then I did the math. Now normally I don't do numbers. It has to do with that left brain right brain thing. I'm just not very good when it comes to using the abacus. But I think I've got this one figured out.



It had nothing to do with song quality or happenstance. NOPE! Simply put, it was the odds.



Vegas bookies would have laughed in my general direction if I had asked them to bet on Michael Stone's "Believe" to win, let alone get into the top twenty of the competition.



A look at the facts and yes those pesky numbers reveals the answer:
  • 38,000 entries
  • 2 week time period to listen-
  • 336 hours to evaluate and choose the top 20

So. With those figures in mind let's assume the "judges" (read interns) listened to JUST ONE MINUTE of all 38,000 songs.



That would take 633 hours! Hmmmm.....I've got a strange tingling in my gut that says maybe each song didn't get a complete listen.



Call me a cynic, call it instinct, but I think I'm on to something here. The American Idol folks must never have heard "Believe". I mean, how could they have NOT have chosen such a perfect song to be sung on the finale by the winning American Idol? How could I not have been launched to worldwide fame and instant songwriting success over night?



I'm glad I did break out the calculator and realized it was nothing I did creatively to impede my own success, but instead there was a mathematical explanation to the inexplicable, inconceivable result. After all with my ONE entry against all the other songwriter wannabes in the world, I did have a .0000263% chance of success. Who wouldn't jump at those odd?



If you'd like to hear "Believe" or any of my other songs the player below should help!



I wish you all the best!



Michael Stone


2007-05-19 13:15:24 GMT
Comments (6 total)
Author:inbanjobabe
really cool songs
2007-05-19 14:44:56 GMT
Author:Michael Stone
inbanjobabe thank you for taking the time to listen is is appreciated! Lebanon IN. eh. I used to run stations from South Bend to Bloomington..
Take care
Michael Stone
2007-05-19 15:20:02 GMT
Author:historychaser2007
Don't get discouraged! You have amazing talent, so follow your title and "believe" in yourself. You have a fan here. Besides, American Idol is beginning to seem like a joke and is in decline... Wondering if you have an actual website too?
2007-05-19 20:48:11 GMT
Author:Michael Stone
Ocean! You are too kind. Thanks for the kind comments about my music. I NEVER give up. And yes I do have a website. http://MichaelStoneMusic.com

Michael Stone
2007-05-19 23:38:32 GMT
Author:benjitx
Great song, Michael.
2007-05-22 17:09:47 GMT
Author:sarahstrums
I think you know what the problem is, my friend. American Idol is LAME! Of course they didn't use your song... odds or no odds, it was too deep for them. Keep singing and writing. You're great!
2007-06-07 14:43:02 GMT
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